Recent adjustments to U.S. labor market data revealed that there were actually 818,000 fewer jobs created than previously thought. This means that instead of adding around 242,000 jobs each month as initially believed, the economy only saw an increase of 174,000 jobs.
- The biggest downward revision seen since 2009
- Job reduction averaging 68,000
- Revised data covers April 2022 to March 2023
- Impacts Federal Reserve’s economic outlook
- Influences decisions on interest rates
The revised job numbers paint a less robust picture of the labor market than originally assumed. This shift is significant for the Federal Reserve as it may prompt them to rethink their monetary policy stance driven by a perception of a weaker job market. The Fed’s decisions on interest rate adjustments could be swayed by this data.
Also Read: A Massive Wave Of Foreclosures Does Not Appear To Be Coming
Interest Rates Could See A Decent Cut In September
How Does It Affect Mortgage Rates?
Mortgage rates closely follow the actions taken by the Federal Reserve. The latest updates on the job market suggest that there is a chance of interest rate reductions, which could potentially impact mortgage rates. Even though the federal funds rate and mortgage rates are not directly linked, they do share a connection.
- Factors affecting mortgage rates based on market expectations
- Potential interest rate decrease by the Federal Reserve in September
- Expected decrease of 25 basis points, maybe even 50
- Mortgage rates hovered around 6.4% last week
- Possibility of further rate declines, which could be advantageous for homebuyers
A decrease in mortgage rates may attract buyers to the market, alleviating affordability concerns to some extent. Prospective buyers are advised to stay updated with lenders for any changes in rates due to market dynamics.
Exploring The Shifts In The Housing Market
Reports have surfaced about a number of homebuyers withdrawing from purchase agreements. Let’s peak into what’s driving this trend.
- 60,000 buyers canceled transactions in July
- Regions with high levels of new construction experienced a surge in cancellations
- An increase in new home inventory has expanded choices for buyers
- Sellers are adjusting prices due to an uptick in supply
- Around 16% of contracts were canceled last month
While these figures may raise concerns, it's crucial to maintain perspective. Comparisons are being drawn to data from 2017, which wasn't long ago. The market dynamics back in 2017 were quite different from what we see today. Nowadays, buyers have a range of choices and are more specific about what they want, sometimes walking away due to minor inspection issues.
Also Read: Housing Market Sees Renewed Interest As Mortgage Rates Drop
Greater Phoenix's CMI Was Around 100 In Late August
A Closer Look At The Greater Phoenix Real Estate Market
Taking a look at the Greater Phoenix real estate market, recent reports show some developments:
- Cancellation rates are higher than the national average at around 20-21%
- Market indicators suggest a good balance between supply and demand adjustments
- The Cromford Market Index (CMI) is hovering close to the mark of 100
- Sellers could have an edge in the coming months
- Positive month-to-month changes in CMI are noted
In Greater Phoenix, although the market has been stable, there are indications of it heating up. Sellers may soon benefit from favorable conditions if mortgage rates continue to drop. If you’ve been thinking about selling your property, this could be a good time to take action.
Our Conclusion
Looking ahead, revisions in the job market and potential interest rate cuts will impact the Arizona real estate market. Homebuyers might enjoy lower mortgage rates and a more affordable market soon. On the other side, sellers could find themselves in a stronger position for negotiations in the near future. To make informed decisions in this changing environment, it is crucial to monitor market shifts, stay abreast of local trends, and seek advice from real estate experts such as our squad here at Williams Luxury Homes. If you have any questions, we're ready to answer them. With the election soon approaching and a new year on the way, it is certain lots of change is coming. One way or another. Thank you for reading LUXE BLOG. See you next time.